Week 0

Against the spread: 6–2–0 (75.0%).

Backfilled from the original weekly sheets. Market line = early-week median of ~9 books; close = DraftKings via ESPN.

Weeks 0–1 average uses three models (Massey, SP+, Sagarin); Action Network was added in Week 2.

Sagarin ratings for Weeks 0–2 were rebuilt from archived copies of sagarin.com.

Game	Final	Sunday line	Close	Model	Pick · edge	Result	Line value
Jacksonville State at North Dakota State	7–33	North Dakota State −6.5	North Dakota State −6.5	North Dakota State −10.5	North Dakota State −6.5 4.0	✓ Win	−0.0
San Jose State at USC	26–42	USC −38	USC −37.5	USC −35.1	San Jose State +38 2.9	✓ Win	0.5
Memphis at UNLV	27–21	UNLV −5.5	UNLV −4.5	UNLV −3	Memphis +5.5 2.5	✓ Win	1.0
New Mexico State at Florida State	17–34	Florida State −31	Florida State −30.5	Florida State −28.7	New Mexico State +31 2.3	✓ Win	0.5
NC State at Virginia	8–34	Virginia −5.5	Virginia −4	Virginia −3.6	NC State +5.5 1.9	✕ Loss	1.5
Sacramento State at Eastern Michigan	17–28	Eastern Michigan −8.5	Eastern Michigan −9.5	Eastern Michigan −7.1	Sacramento State +8.5 1.4	✕ Loss	−1.0
Hawai’i at Stanford	27–37	Stanford −5.5	Stanford −4.5	Stanford −6.6	Stanford −5.5 1.1	✓ Win	−1.0
North Carolina at TCU	15–10	TCU −7.5	TCU −7.5	TCU −7.4	North Carolina +7.5 0.1	✓ Win	0.0

Final shown away–home. Line value = points the line moved toward the pick between Sunday and kickoff.